No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $46.33
- Potential payout
- $46.36
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
liulaoge
0x7aeb9b3608d62f314ca0de926bb4bed5ae673559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.56
- Realized PnL
- $116.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $11.22
- Potential payout
- $11.99
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?No 99.2% 46.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?No 99.6% 46.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on July 11?No 99.9% 45.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on July 11?No 98.7% 45.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 10?No 99.9% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 10?No 99% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 71.9% 35.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 71.7% 28.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 95% 63.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 7?No 99.8% 60.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 5?No 99.6% 60.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?No 99.9% 60.18 shares