Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $189.96
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $836.84
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$207.04
Polymarket Trader
JOaozz
0x7af0d3c0acf5f8fec66b098416999a471aaf2e2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.95
- Realized PnL
- $629.89
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.63
- Potential profit
- $201.63
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.85
- Potential profit
- $189.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.52
- Potential profit
- $114.52
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.56
- Potential profit
- $102.56
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $90.32
- Potential profit
- $79.94
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.4
- Potential profit
- $73.4
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.9
- Potential profit
- $54.9
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $52.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $45.23
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $46.1
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.66
- Potential profit
- $45.66
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.98
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.96
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.85
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 31% 90.32 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 70% 181.81 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 30% 23.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 30% 36.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 65% 14.7 shares
- Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?No 13% 15.38 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 10% 45.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 66% 181.82 shares
- Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?Yes 4.4% 22.73 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 57% 122.81 shares