No position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $44.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Polymarket Trader
lpd11
0x7af885f5c988e24f9343495184de94345fed4cce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.75
- Realized PnL
- $165.99
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Zia Yusuf – Reform UK win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Bev Craig – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Lee Moffitt – Reform UK win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Amanda Gardner – Green Party win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Jackie Pearcy - Lib Dems win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Zack Polanski – Green Party win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 80% 50 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 71% 50 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 94.6% 25 shares
- Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?No 98.5% 35.01 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 96.1% 26.01 shares
- Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?No 96.6% 25.87 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.9% 8.49 shares
- Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 7.8% 130.63 shares
- Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 7.7% 70.77 shares
- Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No 35% 94.54 shares
- Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No 36% 124.58 shares
- Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 6.4% 63.91 shares