Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.21
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Polymarket Trader
Shermansa
0x7b05789529bc13475b5e64daab4bf78a2d169f01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.1
- Realized PnL
- $197.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $94.83
- Potential profit
- $94.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.55
- Potential profit
- $94.55
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.9
- Potential profit
- $90.9
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $66.77
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.39
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.33
- Potential profit
- $68.33
- User PnL
- -$4.05
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.75
- Potential profit
- $55.75
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $54.47
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.33
- Potential profit
- $48.33
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $46.27
- Potential profit
- $46.02
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $25.99
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Ireland position
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $45.1
- Potential profit
- $43.41
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.85
- Potential profit
- $41.85
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.37
- Potential profit
- $41.37
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.89
- Potential profit
- $37.89
- User PnL
- -$7.43
Yes position
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $35.48
- Potential profit
- $30.86
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.9
Bulls position
Bucks vs. Bulls
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
Heat position
Rockets vs. Heat
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Colombia position
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Stars position
Bruins vs. Stars
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 37% 1.96 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 11.8% 14.97 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 10.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 18% 9.94 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 36% 9.97 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.2% 4.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.6% 4.61 shares
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No 50% 2.02 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?No 4% 5 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?No 8% 15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 64% 5 shares