Polymarket Trader

7878089

0x7b0fdf50551bbf5395316c4c5adea0d4ea378a6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78
Realized PnL: $32.82
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $4.43
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.42

No position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.55

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.7%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 69 shares
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Yes 10.2% 200 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

No 75.2% 19 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

No 80% 10 shares
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 15% 80 shares
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 18% 20.08 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 8% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 15.5% 100 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

No 87% 30 shares