Polymarket Trader

Mary202

0x7b1472049ce364d9e1ff22bd88b7a2d5b7daf682

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.85
Realized PnL: $807.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $51.72
Potential payout: $54.93
Potential profit: $3.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $40.14
Potential payout: $41.4
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Hawks position

Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Bucks

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Rams position

Vikings vs. Rams

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Heat position

Heat vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Browns

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.44

Broncos position

Browns vs. Broncos

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Ravens

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

No position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

No position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 94.9% 20.99 shares
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 96.6% 22 shares
Predators vs. Bruins

Bruins 55% 400 shares
Mavericks vs. Hornets

Mavericks 67% 100 shares
Magic vs. Bucks

Magic 34% 400 shares
Vikings vs. Rams

Rams 44% 200 shares
Pelicans vs. Wizards

Wizards 37% 400 shares
Texans vs. Chiefs

Texans 41% 400 shares
Chiefs vs. Browns

Chiefs 68.3% 200.44 shares
Hawks vs. Knicks

Hawks 28% 200 shares
Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Cavaliers 88% 250 shares
Mavericks vs. Wizards

Mavericks 90.2% 200.73 shares