Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Cancain
0x7b1792b023096e429bf0053f4d526eb71e339b4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.11
- Realized PnL
- $6.47
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $13.11
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $209.11
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$6.89
No position
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.7% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No 12% 25 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes 16% 103.44 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 16% 27.77 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes 6.3% 79.37 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes 29% 103.45 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes 14.4% 20.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No 31.9% 3.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes 6.1% 20.83 shares