Yes position
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $183.63
- Potential payout
- $24.48K
- Potential profit
- $24.3K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$116.35
Polymarket Trader
Ali123123
0x7b17b43489d7bfdd4bf505654ed82b920c5e5246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.78K
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $144.44
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.08K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$55.56
Yes position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.89K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $113.33
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$86.67
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.92K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$24.97
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.27K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$87.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$109.99
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$28.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$126
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $283.58
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$116.42
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $821.06
- Potential profit
- $821.06
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $818.13
- Potential profit
- $818.13
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.85
- Potential payout
- $505.46
- Potential profit
- $472.61
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$47.14
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.97
- Potential profit
- $401.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Current value
- $198.73
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $134.6
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $322.58
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $122.58
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $23.49
- Potential payout
- $261.01
- Potential profit
- $237.52
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$76.51
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $120.48
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $686.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.58
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.77
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.9
No position
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.39
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.93
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Yes position
Will Trump say "F-35" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.25
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 60% 333.33 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 322.58 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 51% 215.69 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 51% 196.08 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 119.05 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 15.8% 505.46 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 11,000 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 8,333.33 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 303.96 shares
- Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 15,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 4,000 shares