No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $15.43
- Potential profit
- $13.96
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Polymarket Trader
Gabriel369
@kartinoch
0x7b280dc6e9d5a543ca222dc84dd21aa76c6dde0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.64
- Realized PnL
- $32.47
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Y
Yes position
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.03
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- User PnL
- -$9.96
N
No position
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $8.22
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $11.8
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $11.64
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $11.13
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- -$2.33
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $3.07
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Yes 84% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No 82% 12.15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?No 82.1% 10.12 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 7% 15.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?No 80% 12.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?No 80% 12.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?No 80% 12.15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?No 84% 12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 81% 12.15 shares
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?Yes 88% 11.13 shares
- Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 85% 11.64 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?Yes 80.1% 12.35 shares