Yes position
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $470.66
- Potential payout
- $104.59K
- Potential profit
- $104.12K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $210.75
Polymarket Trader
Ronenbinder
0x7b57c1e4a41d10ef9b7519bffe9b82e0ac8b6ba9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $802.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- User PnL
- -$145.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$93.24
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$9.29
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $311.73
- Potential payout
- $902.52
- Potential profit
- $590.79
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.98
- Potential profit
- $812.98
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760.24
- Potential profit
- $760.24
- User PnL
- -$198.99
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $66.23
- Potential profit
- $54.74
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.49
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.69
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.47
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.15
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or higher on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 14,655.69 shares
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 59,935.14 shares
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 13,171.83 shares
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 3,941.09 shares
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 7,887.08 shares
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.2% 852.27 shares