Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $167.65
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$132.35
Polymarket Trader
GioYoGentle
0x7b5c4065289ea68776abc3c75a30a52953e825c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.66
- Realized PnL
- $872.91
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.6%
- Current value
- $130.11
- Potential payout
- $355.5
- Potential profit
- $225.39
- Multiplier
- 2.73x
- User PnL
- $100.11
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.35
- Potential profit
- $296.35
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.15
- Potential profit
- $250.15
- User PnL
- -$97.56
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.91
- Potential profit
- $249.91
- User PnL
- -$127.45
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $71.9
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $23.33
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $11.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.02
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.78
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
No position
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.8% 312.5 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.6% 312.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 27% 21.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes 51% 249.91 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 63% 95.24 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 8.4% 355.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No 80% 374.4 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 39% 250.15 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No 95% 62.89 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 1,764.71 shares
- Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 10.1% 296.35 shares
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes 96% 72.83 shares