No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $109.9
- Potential payout
- $109.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.53
Polymarket Trader
vcxvxcvcx
0x7b70e9b8b88d656438d72abee2453697c8b5df92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.4
- Realized PnL
- $19.33
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $10.83
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 68% 32.33 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?No 96.9% 3.23 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No 90% 99.99 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 90.8% 88.56 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No 89% 99.99 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No 98.1% 84.34 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes 90% 27.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No 98.5% 84.34 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 38% 97.92 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 38% 97.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 80.14 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 77% 91.28 shares