Polymarket Trader

0x7B739498B83B15A4a51937bf2eAc6F88e78f2644-1767522407335

0x7b739498b83b15a4a51937bf2eac6f88e78f2644

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.85
Realized PnL: -$42.22
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.84
Potential profit: $170.84
User PnL: -$85.67

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.22
Potential profit: $70.22
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.45
Potential profit: $36.45
User PnL: -$30

No position

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $20.77
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $13.68
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $18.21
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

No position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $490 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.14

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 49% 72.8 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 51% 98.04 shares
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

No 89% 86.52 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Yes 59% 50.85 shares
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?

Yes 82.3% 36.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Yes 54.9% 18.21 shares
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

No 31% 32.26 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

No 99.9% 10 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 13% 15.38 shares
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Yes 5.4% 34.43 shares
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

No 95% 75.79 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 31% 54.84 shares