Polymarket Trader

0x7B8120b592c71A04bab678e86E4310Af95119B81-1778393027969

0x7b8120b592c71a04bab678e86e4310af95119b81

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.12
Realized PnL: $10.79
Win rate: 95.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $502.22
Potential profit: $492.68
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $110.68
Potential payout: $331.87
Potential profit: $221.19
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $30.68

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.75
Potential profit: $120.75
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43.6%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $12.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $6.72
User PnL: -$5.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $6.72
User PnL: -$5.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57
Potential profit: $6.57
User PnL: -$5.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$4.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Yes 66% 22.73 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 3% 502.22 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.1% 14.23 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.1% 177.94 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.1% 21.35 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 59.88 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Yes 8% 120.75 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 118.34 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 59.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Up 89% 6.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 90% 6.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 88% 6.65 shares