Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $42.19
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $270.31
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Polymarket Trader
0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278
0x7b82ceba10eb8f06a314a8d84bf6813957198d9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $355.04
- Realized PnL
- $27.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $91.36
- Potential payout
- $92.99
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Aug 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $76.69
- Potential payout
- $77.23
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $52.74
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $27.04
- Potential payout
- $27.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Kashima Antlers win Japan J. League?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.62
- Potential profit
- $19.62
- User PnL
- -$19.23
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.34
- Potential profit
- $18.34
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.12
- Potential profit
- $18.12
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz win Liga Endesa?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.7
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- User PnL
- -$16.37
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win Liga Endesa?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.22
- Potential profit
- $14.22
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Yes position
Will Chicago Wolves win American Hockey League?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $12.52
- User PnL
- -$12.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $10.55
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $9.18
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Thomas Pieters leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Richard Bland leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will Atlético Nacional win Colombia Primera A?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $7.67
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will Elvis Smylie leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $7.38
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Branden Grace leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will Cameron Tringale leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will Ian Poulter leave LIV Golf by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Yes position
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Garett Bolles win the NFL Protector of the Year?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Vissel Kobe win Japan J. League?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?No 98.4% 92.99 shares
- Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Yes 98.2% 77.4 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No 98.5% 10 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 98% 48.6 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 98.3% 53.19 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 98% 32.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.1% 37.72 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98% 37.46 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 42.94 shares
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.5% 45.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.4% 20.23 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.3% 21.35 shares