Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $60.61
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Polymarket Trader
beiju1
0x7b960927e2517d8cc6863f132f68c040ba022429
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $652.07
- Realized PnL
- $57.66
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $159.43
- Potential payout
- $342.86
- Potential profit
- $183.43
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $39.43
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $137.37
- Potential payout
- $139.67
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $105.09
- Potential payout
- $108.01
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.09
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $70.42
- Potential payout
- $102.88
- Potential profit
- $32.46
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $60.35
- Potential payout
- $69.77
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $67.2
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.47
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.44
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.66
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.57
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.55
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $5.54
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.87x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$7.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$14.12
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$31.24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$54.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 34.88 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 34.88 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 83.6% 35.89 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 84.7% 35.42 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 81.7% 36.7 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 25.1% 250 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 36% 83.33 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 36% 83.33 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 36% 83.33 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 38% 68.18 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 44% 68.18 shares
- Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 1.3% 403.16 shares