757677

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $85.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $69.76

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $236.66
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$59.16

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $211.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $124.65

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $113.32
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $186.65

No position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $44.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.77

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: $78.48

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$88.88

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$1.11

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Senators

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$399.96

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$255.53

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$199.98

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$222.2

No position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $962.95
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $72.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.79

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid position

Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$182.7

No position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $777
User PnL: -$0.78

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695
Potential profit: $695
User PnL: -$653.3

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $617.72
Potential payout: $671.43
Potential profit: $53.71
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.55

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633.85
Potential profit: $633.85
User PnL: -$126.55

Yes position

Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$38.85

No position

Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$471.75

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $553.06
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$13.32

No position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $553.06
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $1.94
User PnL: $9.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.36

Under position

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.05

76ers position

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.6

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.98

Yes position

Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.45

Yes position

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.95

Nottingham Forest FC position

Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $260.43

No position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $233.1

No position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.52

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.54

Amur Khabarovsk position

KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Amur Khabarovsk

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

No position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.65

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $121.72

No position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.35

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.23

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $106.82

No position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.13

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.34

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $102.34

No position

Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.23

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $99.32

No position

Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.61

No position

Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.35

Yes position

Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?