No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.89K
- Potential profit
- $24.89K
- User PnL
- -$4.32K
Polymarket Trader
Warsh-Nightmare
0x7bb7bccc02fec3d93b311695a42b251e465e44f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $44.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.01K
- Potential profit
- $17.01K
- User PnL
- -$734.42
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.06K
- Potential profit
- $14.06K
- User PnL
- -$176.99
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49K
- Potential profit
- $11.49K
- User PnL
- -$367.69
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.37K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.32K
- Potential profit
- $10.32K
- User PnL
- -$216.08
Yes position
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.3K
- User PnL
- -$259.76
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$731.78
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- User PnL
- -$246.42
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- User PnL
- -$872.99
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- User PnL
- -$92.45
Yes position
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$16.98
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.72
- Potential profit
- $918.72
- User PnL
- -$26.28
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577
- Potential profit
- $577
- User PnL
- -$58.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.94
- Potential profit
- $123.94
- User PnL
- -$11.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04K
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44K
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.41
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $731.42
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.11
Yes position
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.35
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.88
Yes position
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.2
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $591.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $584.85
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $538.97
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.17
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.7
Yes position
Will Solana reach $250 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $377.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 10.2% 577 shares
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes 13% 567.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No 99.7% 27,327.3 shares
- Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 3.1% 452.71 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 7.2% 8,000 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes 12.5% 1,565.56 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 19.1% 11,403.58 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 24.4% 71.49 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 25% 1,408 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 24.4% 1,453 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 22.9% 1,675.02 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.6% 4,200 shares