No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$850
Polymarket Trader
0x7BB90D3BC7B6D39935eB0c5EC05fB4D16069C1f3-1773367563397
0x7bb90d3bc7b6d39935eb0c5ec05fb4d16069c1f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $4.94K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$900
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $694.49
- Potential profit
- $694.49
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.76
- Potential profit
- $609.76
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $561
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $69.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $430.75
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$289.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $276.97
- Potential payout
- $287.91
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $58.18
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $120.48
- Potential payout
- $286.87
- Potential profit
- $166.38
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$75.52
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $202.67
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $64
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $196.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $34.7
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $104.1
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $59.84
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $150.46
- Potential profit
- $114.35
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$48.65
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $135.87
- Potential payout
- $148.49
- Potential profit
- $12.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $35.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $110.23
- Potential payout
- $148.16
- Potential profit
- $37.93
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.47
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.47
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.86
Yes position
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.41
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.72
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.66
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.19
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.66
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.33
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.06
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 10% 1,368.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 196.08 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 50% 298.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 73.4% 272.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 45% 444.44 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 65% 153.85 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 75% 266.67 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 69.5% 431.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 81.9% 488.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 833.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.5% 359.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59.4% 336.79 shares