Polymarket Trader

gugu5

0x7c19c363350b7d23e592875d1a4d9982565e5ae9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.59
Realized PnL: $123.32
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Submission" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$22.75

No position

Will the announcers say "Knockout," "Knock Out," or "Knocked Out" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.78
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$45.28

Yes position

Will the announcers say "White House" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $18.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Trump post "Mutilization" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $18.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Hannes Steinbach be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Labaron Philon be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Keaton Wagler be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.27

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?

No 99% 20 shares
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?

Yes 1.8% 20 shares
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 0.1% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?

Yes 0.7% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Choke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Yes 0.6% 19 shares
Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?

Yes 1% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will Team Vitality Make a Roster Change before September?

No 95% 50 shares
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

No 94.4% 20 shares
Will the Houston Astros hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?

No 93% 20.01 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

No 95.9% 40 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

No 98.1% 40 shares