No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Polymarket Trader
0x7c1a...8daa
0x7c1a8ceb64f0d58d31732a9f5e43950b0fdb8daa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.42
- Realized PnL
- -$8.66
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$10.72
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$14.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 34% 7 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.5% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 13.6% 17 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97.2% 8 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 82% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 42.4% 13 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 57.6% 31 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 88% 11 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 22 shares