ooboys12

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $319.79
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $216.69
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$8.29

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $277.48
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $795.96
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $123.91

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $167.33
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $875.23
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $78.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $581.67
Potential payout: $688.77
Potential profit: $107.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $292.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $116.2
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $163.8
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $44.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $188.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $95.15

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $219.99
User PnL: -$60.97

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.89
Potential profit: $197.89
User PnL: -$37.1

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.82
Potential profit: $142.82
User PnL: -$38.09

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$43.5

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $48.22
Potential payout: $70.49
Potential profit: $22.28
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $12.33

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $14.39
Potential payout: $70.19
Potential profit: $55.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$14.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $44.1
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $27.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.36
Potential payout: $48.2
Potential profit: $37.83
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$14.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $39.7
Potential payout: $47.54
Potential profit: $7.84
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $21.27
Potential payout: $43.4
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.6
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$18.8

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$25.85

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$13.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $32.12
Potential payout: $35.11
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.04

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.26

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $35.91

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.94

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.19

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.85

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?