Polymarket Trader

0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818

0x7c2763161e569e34432c2eeff1a73d306fae6e68

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $154.57
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.83
Potential profit: $771.83
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.5
Potential profit: $262.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.82
Potential profit: $231.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $208.4
Potential profit: $208.09
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $154.82
Potential profit: $154.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $146.71
Potential profit: $146.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $123.69
Potential payout: $135.92
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $73.69

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $129.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.18
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $106.47
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.11
Potential profit: $116.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.78
Potential profit: $92.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $18.85
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $58.08
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $8.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.47
Potential profit: $59.47
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.91

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $51.55
Potential profit: $51.24
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$19.69

No position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.51
Potential profit: $47.51
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.67
Potential profit: $43.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 62% 16.13 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 36.8% 135.92 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 11.3% 40.98 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 12.2% 40.98 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 8.39 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 89% 8.39 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 76% 52.63 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 33% 60.61 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 61% 16.39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 41% 24.39 shares
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29.8% 65.12 shares
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Yes 33.6% 59.47 shares