Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $81.04
- Potential payout
- $91.26
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.04
Polymarket Trader
0x7c2Ecb8D6a37534e52b1A3Af90fC2cFD5d826987-1779968595440
0x7c2ecb8d6a37534e52b1a3af90fc2cfd5d826987
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.43
- Realized PnL
- $56.43
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $41.39
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $14.17
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.55
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 72% 55.56 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 76.7% 91.26 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 77.4% 15.51 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 99.9% 43.75 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 80% 43.75 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 59.2% 40.19 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 62.2% 40.19 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 32.2% 23.67 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 59% 23.67 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 73% 13.7 shares