Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $610.7
- Potential profit
- $606.42
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
Polymarket Trader
RedKroh
@RedKroh
0x7c366d7f59edb1dd8f6b121b9c446b2f47ed0e22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $388.11
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $17.64
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $260.14
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $196.38
- Potential payout
- $240.98
- Potential profit
- $44.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $132.73
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $49.09
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $32.73
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $36.48
- Potential payout
- $76.8
- Potential profit
- $40.32
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.39
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.29
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.7
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.9
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $35.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $14.29
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 82.4% 90.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.2% 277.78 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 27.78 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 51% 49.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.9% 91.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82% 91.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 55% 181.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 45% 172.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 95.3% 138.86 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 6.6% 63.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes 77% 172.72 shares