Polymarket Trader

xiguaoo

0x7c36a819b6b530b5c8bd2874a6124d58cf76357f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.89
Realized PnL: $150.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.43
Potential profit: $171.43
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Mees Rottgering position

Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.55
Potential profit: $94.55
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.46
Potential profit: $60.46
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $51.5
User PnL: -$11.07

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $43.99
Potential profit: $42.23
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$8.99

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.9
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: -$7.73

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$4.2

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $29.59
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.96

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.83
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $21.19
User PnL: -$4.69

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.51
Potential profit: $20.51
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Charles Jourdain position

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.76

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Liberty Flames position

Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Wizards position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Trail Blazers position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $3.44

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $3.15

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

No 96.6% 1.05 shares
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

No 99.3% 1.07 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 95% 1.12 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 99.3% 1.12 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 96.3% 1.12 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

No 98% 1.16 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

No 91% 1.17 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 1.18 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 1.78 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 84% 1.29 shares
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?

No 53% 2.02 shares
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 5 shares