Polymarket Trader

fabriksopor

0x7c3941fb6c074f3796af11d49a00aa92947df4f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $308.33
Realized PnL: $287.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $148.74
Potential payout: $600.96
Potential profit: $452.23
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $159.59
Potential payout: $414.52
Potential profit: $254.93
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $16.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.23
Potential profit: $156.23
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.43
Potential profit: $121.43
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.16
Potential profit: $61.16
User PnL: -$24.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.09
Potential profit: $56.09
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.23
Potential profit: $39.23
User PnL: -$6

No position

England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $22.17
User PnL: -$19.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $21.98
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $21.51
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.58
Potential profit: $19.58
User PnL: -$17.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.88
Potential profit: $18.88
User PnL: -$15.86

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$17.44

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.41
Potential profit: $18.41
User PnL: -$16.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $17.78
User PnL: -$15.97

No position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.7
Potential profit: $15.7
User PnL: -$14.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: -$5.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Nemiga position

CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Lynn Vision vs. Nemiga

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

FaZe position

BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. MIBR

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Yes position

Will a candidate say "Pizza" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

B8 position

CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Imperial

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?

Yes 34.2% 379.6 shares
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Yes 25% 600.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 72.4% 23.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 85.4% 23.42 shares
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?

No 70% 28.57 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

No 37.2% 27.02 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Yes 82.1% 23.36 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Yes 85.6% 23.36 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

No 74% 27.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Up 70% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Up 78% 6.41 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?

Yes 91% 5 shares