Yes position
Will Elon say "Arson" during Baier interview on Thursday?
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Polymarket Trader
DarkWasLosing
0x7c428f80c53a60fe2f3704f958206a8887da3a34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.99
- Realized PnL
- $103.79
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Baier interview on Thursday?
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $20.35
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
No position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
Will Gladiator II gross between $53-60m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Texans position
Texans vs. Cowboys
Ends Nov 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Gladiator II gross less than $53m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 26% 20.35 shares
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 13.5% 34 shares
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 6% 32 shares
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 12% 58.66 shares
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 10.2% 62 shares
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 12% 48 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?Yes 0.3% 98 shares
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 15% 26.67 shares
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 3.1% 38 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 5% 14 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 14% 18 shares
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 17.7% 16 shares