Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $17.7
- Potential profit
- $15.51
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Polymarket Trader
lanpa
0x7c4358fb49ba58ee08d83cfaa12c73de9312deee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.49
- Realized PnL
- $76.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5.28
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $1.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Milwaukee Brewers position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Chicago White Sox position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Seattle Mariners position
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Athletics position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?No 19.3% 5.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?Yes 62% 1.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 57% 0.2 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes 5.2% 9.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?Yes 80% 1.48 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes 12% 9.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 74% 0.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 56% 2.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?Yes 55% 2.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?No 76% 1.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?Yes 21.6% 5.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?No 41% 0.18 shares