Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Polymarket Trader
miguelmalo
0x7c609519781aeac8f49a48a912b9f80b62af5c52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.29K
- Realized PnL
- $959.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $916.12
- Potential payout
- $977.19
- Potential profit
- $61.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.42
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $795.45
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $654.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $354.41
- Potential payout
- $358.71
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $42.31
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $206.77
- Potential payout
- $320.58
- Potential profit
- $113.81
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$20.84
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $15.79
- Potential payout
- $274.59
- Potential profit
- $258.8
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.21
No position
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $215.72
- Potential payout
- $264.72
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $33.88
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $163.63
- Potential payout
- $178.83
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $29.51
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $160.96
- Potential payout
- $161.2
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $14.27
Yes position
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $150.8
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $100.75
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $104.27
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $54.27
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $89.45
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $23.42
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.55
No position
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $51.49
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $6.29
- Potential payout
- $85.62
- Potential profit
- $79.33
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $58.01
- Potential payout
- $84.68
- Potential profit
- $26.67
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $45.59
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $34.41
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $58.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $60.46
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $56.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.86
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.12
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.01
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.79
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.97
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $21.94
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 6,666.66 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.7% 100 shares
- Will Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 62% 40 shares
- Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 69% 250 shares
- Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 70% 5 shares
- Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 64% 8 shares
- Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 74% 30 shares
- Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75.8% 31.46 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 15 shares
- Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.3% 47.5 shares