Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.41
- Potential profit
- $77.41
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
huaixiaoman
0x7c60e344dd8410876097a301ad9443033b7a5d2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.72
- Realized PnL
- $190.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $34.2
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?Yes 23% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?Yes 19% 2 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 22% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 54.7% 7.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 62% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?No 1% 23.29 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 28% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 45% 7.25 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 25% 15 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 27% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 15?Yes 1.3% 27 shares