Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.49K
- Potential profit
- $86.49K
- User PnL
- -$342.67
Polymarket Trader
JasonLiu7
0x7c7f55ae8c835d2d547d46624af4a82ad5731559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.52
- Realized PnL
- $288.51
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $44.48
- Potential payout
- $277.99
- Potential profit
- $233.51
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$58.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.93
- Potential profit
- $224.93
- User PnL
- -$132
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.33
- Potential profit
- $179.33
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.7
- Potential profit
- $162.7
- User PnL
- -$49.77
Down position
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.01
- Potential profit
- $101.01
- User PnL
- -$40.28
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $35.68
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.05
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $19.52
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.8
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.08
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $26.36
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will it Snow in New York City this December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Campbell Fighting Camels position
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Warriors position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Rockets
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Hornets position
Clippers vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
UT Arlington Mavericks position
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.2% 29.24 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 55% 18.18 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 11.63 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 58% 86.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 38% 131.58 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 29% 172.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.3% 214.49 shares
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 3.3% 59.96 shares