Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.64K
- Potential profit
- $199.64K
- User PnL
- -$6.24K
Polymarket Trader
jaja5050
0x7c873c11e40ceaaba6385322d49f565b66659bd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.15K
- Realized PnL
- $209.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.58K
- Potential profit
- $122.58K
- User PnL
- -$18.62K
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $826.05
- Potential payout
- $86.95K
- Potential profit
- $86.13K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$199.99
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.95K
- Potential profit
- $76.95K
- User PnL
- -$10.62K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.19K
- Potential profit
- $66.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.2K
- Potential profit
- $44.2K
- User PnL
- -$5K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $35.32K
- Potential payout
- $43.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $11.83K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.71K
- Potential profit
- $39.71K
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$7.5K
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.29K
- Potential profit
- $25.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.07K
- Potential profit
- $25.07K
- User PnL
- -$19.05K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.87K
- Potential profit
- $21.87K
- User PnL
- -$6.43K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.86K
- Potential profit
- $21.86K
- User PnL
- -$10.03K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.6K
- Potential profit
- $20.6K
- User PnL
- -$8.95K
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.08K
- Potential profit
- $20.08K
- User PnL
- -$199.08
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23K
- Potential profit
- $19.23K
- User PnL
- -$427.4
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.91K
- Potential profit
- $16.91K
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28K
- Potential profit
- $14.28K
- User PnL
- -$646.97
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.1K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.86K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.41K
- Potential profit
- $13.41K
- User PnL
- -$6.54K
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.18K
- Potential profit
- $13.18K
- User PnL
- -$472.02
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- User PnL
- -$2.15K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.75K
- Potential profit
- $11.75K
- User PnL
- -$5.15K
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.48K
- Potential profit
- $11.48K
- User PnL
- -$9.26K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85K
Pacers position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.05K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03K
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48K
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69K
Yes position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29K
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.89K
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
Pacers position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
No position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No 24% 174.05 shares
- Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 10,843.17 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 4.2% 1,328.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 86% 931.68 shares
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder 29% 800 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 38% 6,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 25% 30,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.5% 895 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 71% 1,968.11 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 70% 7,266.98 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No 56% 2,912.85 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 74.9% 2,800 shares