Yes position
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x7C8DfA6aCdd7D4badA6FCf257E9Af54Ec6FbD62E-1773329038888
0x7c8dfa6acdd7d4bada6fcf257e9af54ec6fbd62e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.98
- Realized PnL
- $757.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $26.23
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $403.77
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.1
- Potential profit
- $397.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $266.67
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.72
- Potential profit
- $113.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.65
- Potential profit
- $108.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.96
- Potential profit
- $99.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.63
- Potential profit
- $68.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.73
- Potential profit
- $46.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.86
- Potential profit
- $14.86
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.39
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.65
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $7.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 4% 200 shares
- Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 393.93 shares
- Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 606.07 shares
- Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.8% 130 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1% 19.18 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 4.5% 29.99 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 22% 30 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes 1.5% 40 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.3% 200 shares