Polymarket Trader

artofinvesting

0x7c9dd9dee7d03901d4aad124fee7d225ad54ada7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $488.77
Realized PnL: $149.5
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $131.13
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$58.56

Yes position

XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$53.31

Yes position

XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $82.95
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$145.61

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $42.21
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$128.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $994.49
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.6

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $38.81
Potential payout: $646.87
Potential profit: $608.06
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $59.38
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $565.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$38.6

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $465
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $446.75
Potential profit: $444.74
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$139.53

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.99
Potential profit: $379.99
User PnL: -$64.81

Yes position

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$10.23

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $20.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $279.45
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$21.45

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$12.7

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$103.47

Yes position

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $31.29
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $117.71
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.03
Potential profit: $65.03
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $60.41
Potential profit: $52.56
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $34.81
Potential profit: $33.93
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $29.14
Potential profit: $24.63
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.16

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $15.06

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.3% 10 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.3% 10 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.2% 10 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 22.5% 30 shares
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
EU dissolves before 2027?

Yes 3.6% 300 shares
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.7% 1,000 shares
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 29.4% 100 shares
EU dissolves before 2027?

Yes 3.5% 12.16 shares
EU dissolves before 2027?

Yes 3.5% 100 shares