Yes position
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $6.87K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$199.04
Polymarket Trader
50cents
0x7c9e0b03d7505dad7e87777cd282628f75b2db3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $501.95
- Realized PnL
- $6.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $35.14
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $14.51
Aterion Esports position
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs Aterion Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $257.58
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $257.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$78.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $33.47
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $33.47
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$27.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.72
The World position
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs Aterion Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Close Qualifiers
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $42.41
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $42.41
Yes position
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $986.54
- Potential profit
- $986.05
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $970.13
- Potential profit
- $966.73
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $967.36
- Potential profit
- $952.85
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $14.51
Yes position
Will Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $966.13
- Potential profit
- $964.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $833.24
- Potential profit
- $819.49
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $723.79
- Potential profit
- $719.45
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $715.71
- Potential profit
- $710.7
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Amouranth divorced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $691.39
- Potential profit
- $688.28
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $676.79
- Potential profit
- $669.68
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $7.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $582.92
Yes position
Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $462.46
Yes position
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $339.94
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $298.63
Yes position
Will Annie and Nick get married by the end of the Love Is Blind Season 9 finale?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $291.2
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $245.5
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.79
Yes position
Will Madison and Joe get married by the end of the Love Is Blind Season 9 finale?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.39
Yes position
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $205.87
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $202.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.33
Yes position
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $182.38
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.06
Yes position
Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.2
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.33
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.53
Yes position
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $148.72
Yes position
Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.43
Yes position
Will Ali and Anton get married by the end of the Love Is Blind Season 9 finale?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.99
No position
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.33
Yes position
Will Kalybriah and Edmond get married by the end of the Love Is Blind Season 9 finale?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.63
Yes position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $117.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 45 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Yes 6.4% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Yes 5% 54 shares
- Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 5.5% 55.49 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Meta 0.9% 400 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?Yes 1.1% 145 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?Yes 1.1% 65 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?Yes 3.1% 196.69 shares
- Will Courtney Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes 2.1% 100 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?Yes 1% 99.44 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?Yes 2.3% 250 shares