Polymarket Trader

virtualsai

0x7ca637bd9667ebb23db038ed90d9e61d64b76392

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.87K
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$77.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $342.67
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$77.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $546.65
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $304.29

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $801.13
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $412.7
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$84.97

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $13.98
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$316.61

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $55.3
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$194.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $791.71
Potential profit: $791.71
User PnL: -$277.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $108.77
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $660.46
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.25
Potential profit: $306.25
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.23
Potential profit: $96.23
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.37
Potential profit: $30.37
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Warriors vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$10.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.48

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.79

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.14

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.67

Yes position

Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.02

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

Packers position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Kings

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

No position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,700 November 10-16?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.6

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Bucks

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Raptors position

Trail Blazers vs. Raptors

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $4.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 3,047.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 365.85 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 1,111.11 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 1,176.47 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 534.07 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 909.09 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 73% 1,213.84 shares
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 99.9% 460.74 shares
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24.2% 206.3 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

No 65.3% 306.25 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 66% 60 shares