Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $75.38
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $125.63
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.81
Polymarket Trader
PLYBOTLIAM
0x7cd6fab8b2fa66f53e1c1252245ad1245cb8b33c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.69
- Realized PnL
- -$259.21
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $53.32
- Potential payout
- $103.53
- Potential profit
- $50.21
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $33.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Yes position
Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$48.85
No position
Will Leinster win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$170.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 1.1% 105.92 shares
- Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes 1% 36.02 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 0.3% 413.1 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 53% 185 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 42% 441 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 45% 75 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 32% 155 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 47% 10 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 48% 145 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 47% 83 shares