No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $4.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$703.67
Polymarket Trader
127983ads
0x7ce61b04551ddb6faae92ca75ba744e6bba56b12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.14K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.01K
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71K
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.24
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.02
Over 3.5 position
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.88
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.4
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $110.63
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $44.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$951.99
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.24K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 88% 1,550 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 80% 741.99 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 81% 526.82 shares
- Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No 70% 30 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 74.1% 2,146.2 shares
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 58% 610 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No 77% 1,400 shares
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes 89.2% 20 shares
- Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 80% 1,002 shares
- Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 79% 242.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 56.6% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by January 31?No 92% 1,988.72 shares