Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.23K
- Potential payout
- $14.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $328.06
Polymarket Trader
Flipbandit
0x7ce85a4ca21de08355a1eaa2b23a98e5d3b17772
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.13K
- Realized PnL
- $19.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.38K
- Potential payout
- $11.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.04K
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $15.18
- User PnL
- $40.06
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $201.35
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.48K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $31.56
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.62
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $905.34
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.42
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.35
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.3
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.2
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.11
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.23
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.19
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.22
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.72
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.97
No position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.08
No position
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.78
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.58
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.04
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.42
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 95.4% 225.58 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 5,060 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 76% 4,000 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 95% 3,200 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 79% 509 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 97% 3,100 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 80.3% 14,820 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 11,888.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 88% 11,400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 91.6% 2,184.46 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 96.4% 73.62 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 89% 2,000 shares