Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $108.46
- Potential profit
- $104.77
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Polymarket Trader
0x7cF0d8e53c78B8313B7997c12C6dD2f7488a120E-1782892254884
0x7cf0d8e53c78b8313b7997c12c6dd2f7488a120e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.62
- Realized PnL
- $233.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $17.45
- Potential payout
- $45.93
- Potential profit
- $28.47
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $34.05
- Potential profit
- $23.16
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $33.83
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $25.59
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 20% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown 95% 4.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown 94% 4.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp 5% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown 83% 1.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 25.5% 3.92 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 3.9% 108.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2PM ETDown 20% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 99% 1.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 23% 8.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown 8% 12.5 shares