Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Polymarket Trader
cake2041
@dem92967
0x7cf4872cae81a4de8132be975a41de31e3b77fac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $599.65
- Realized PnL
- $560.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $198.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $129.42
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$94.99
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $53.16
- Potential payout
- $53.78
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $51.32
- Potential payout
- $51.56
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $30.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.1
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- User PnL
- -$25.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.25
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.55
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $22.68
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Will BNB dip to $600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?No 99.8% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 6?No 99.8% 463.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?Yes 99.7% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 72% 50 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?No 99.6% 130 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 97.8% 53.78 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.2% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No 99.8% 58.79 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 4?No 99.9% 236.11 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.9% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 99.8% 927 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 15?No 99.2% 108 shares