N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$142
Polymarket Trader
x3f4
0x7d0b6caea7daba1bee8474b3be53fafb789cb8b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.91
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$21.55
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$87
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.94
- Potential profit
- $46.94
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.58
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.47
- Potential profit
- $34.47
- User PnL
- -$18.47
No position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.6%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $4.54
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Panthers position
Giants vs. Panthers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.03
Beterbiev position
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?
Ends Oct 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.74
Eagles position
Panthers vs. Eagles
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.01
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.65
No position
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.05
Down position
Meta (META) Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.41
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.95
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.6
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.7
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Yes position
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?No 84.1% 50 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 27.8% 85.62 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 27.8% 50 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 37.8% 132.05 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 77% 40 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 97.4% 50 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No 82% 35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 100 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 45% 5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 36.6% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 73% 200 shares