Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.91K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Noegger
0x7d0ec0e3c53719dc5063dab0247429842cf05796
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $604.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $407.45
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $92.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$52.55
Y
Yes position
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $387.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$61.16
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$369.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.8
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.58
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.43
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.42
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.52
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.27
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes 34.7% 500 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No 99.2% 400 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 3% 400 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 476.41 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No 98.8% 599.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 96.4% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96.1% 799.86 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No 81% 134.86 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 18% 340.18 shares
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No 98.3% 100 shares
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No 96.2% 180 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 2.7% 400 shares