Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51K
- Potential profit
- $8.51K
- User PnL
- -$184.83
Polymarket Trader
fatpuppy
0x7d1a7b30e91a5dcb8bf8e2c66cfaed4c3ef9dbfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.1
- Realized PnL
- $488.03
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $341.45
- Potential profit
- $330.35
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$38.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.96
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.94
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.62
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.76
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.3% 500.05 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 14.6% 341.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 301.36 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 500.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No 58% 258.62 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 6,571.15 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 956.29 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 2% 984.36 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 185.21 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 185.22 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 58% 271.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 301.37 shares