Polymarket Trader

1234ty

0x7d1b8457dd86db5a3333621684de465d167dffc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $1.16K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $93.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $176.04
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $363.96
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: -$29.16

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $383
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$145

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $399.96
User PnL: -$111.99

Boston Red Sox position

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.98
Potential profit: $309.98
User PnL: -$108.49

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $109
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $27

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $94.52
Potential payout: $105.2
Potential profit: $10.68
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $14.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $440.54

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.67

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.6

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.51

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.56

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $10.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 33% 300 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 63% 300 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 33% 300 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

No 89.6% 9.04 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 64% 12.86 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 65% 400 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 300 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 15.3% 245 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 18% 55 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Yes 98.7% 747.64 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Yes 70% 45 shares