bmtr

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $512.58
Potential payout: $21.81K
Potential profit: $21.3K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$131.22

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $508.78
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.37K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$1.97K

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $301.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $982.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $6.99K
User PnL: -$897.68

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $296.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $403.14
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$381.46

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$600.07

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $294.19
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $21.98

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $10.12
User PnL: $158.92

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $669.68
Potential payout: $743.68
Potential profit: $74
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $48.21

Yes position

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $270.46
Potential payout: $607.77
Potential profit: $337.31
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$55.72

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $592.88
Potential payout: $596.46
Potential profit: $3.58
User PnL: $23.64

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $173.75
Potential payout: $542.97
Potential profit: $369.22
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $68.65
Potential payout: $528.09
Potential profit: $459.44
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$5.24

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $459.66
Potential payout: $487.18
Potential profit: $27.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $362.96
Potential payout: $468.34
Potential profit: $105.38
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $424.99
Potential profit: $424.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $330.11
Potential payout: $333.11
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $65.68

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.94
Potential profit: $303.94
User PnL: -$95.09

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $218.52
Potential payout: $278.37
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $105.51

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $259.32
Potential payout: $272.83
Potential profit: $13.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $219.61
Potential payout: $248.15
Potential profit: $28.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $21.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $29.01
Potential payout: $223.17
Potential profit: $194.16
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $69.09
Potential payout: $194.62
Potential profit: $125.53
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$28.42

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $181.04
Potential payout: $183.79
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.47

No position

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $176.31
Potential payout: $177.55
Potential profit: $1.24
User PnL: $5.79

No position

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $148.73
Potential payout: $153.41
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.32

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $147.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $34.72

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $142.11
Potential profit: $133.16
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $90.3
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $84.77
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $15.07
Potential payout: $94.2
Potential profit: $79.13
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$25.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $67.58
Potential profit: $62.88
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $37.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $15.72
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $21.72

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.18
Potential profit: $21.18
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $7.44
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.42

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.31

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.98

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.48

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.83

Yes position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.16

No position

Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.59

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.11

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.3

No position

Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.99

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.91

No position

Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.37

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.96

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.81

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.12

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.71

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.13

No position

Will Russia capture Bilytske by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.06

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.76

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.32

No position

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.78

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.76

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.72

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.4

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.19

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.25

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.5

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.66

No position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.77

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.24

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.34

No position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.26

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

No position

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.18

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.24

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.7

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.85

No position

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?