Polymarket Trader

LILLIANSSY

0x7d29063eca95ed4bc3a944bfae452b07f34afe6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.45
Realized PnL: $102.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $91.71
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.41
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $42.09
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15.58

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.18
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $15.52
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $11.25

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.26

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 19% 46.51 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 33% 17.85 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 54.1% 18.36 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 54.4% 18.37 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 56% 35.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 9?

Yes 3.5% 27.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 9?

Yes 12% 7.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 9?

Yes 23% 4.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 9?

Yes 3.7% 25.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 9?

Yes 2.2% 43.23 shares