Polymarket Trader

FrostyHouse4

0x7d3589238f840ed15173f1dc4c9a77bab6473d76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.22
Realized PnL: $567.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.83K
Potential profit: $44.83K
User PnL: -$109.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.16
Potential profit: $395.16
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.65
Potential profit: $306.65
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.96
Potential profit: $300.96
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.85
Potential profit: $300.85
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.09
Potential profit: $249.09
User PnL: -$2.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.87
Potential profit: $244.87
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.64
Potential profit: $243.64
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.84
Potential profit: $236.84
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.94
Potential profit: $202.94
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.64
Potential profit: $173.64
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $172.38
Potential profit: $168.15
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.81
Potential profit: $169.81
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.42
Potential profit: $163.42
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.9
Potential profit: $145.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.64
Potential profit: $144.64
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.43
Potential profit: $142.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.07
Potential profit: $140.07
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.03
Potential profit: $126.03
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.02
Potential profit: $124.02
User PnL: -$74.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.94
Potential profit: $122.94
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Yes 2.9% 172.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 20?

Yes 2% 101.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Yes 4.9% 28.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Yes 12.3% 63.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Yes 4.6% 72.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20?

Yes 6% 36.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Yes 7.8% 42.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?

No 62.3% 16.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 13.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 24.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?

No 54% 13.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Yes 10% 11 shares