Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
0x7D4160A431807fa4919f3C7CC60285Fe78E72DFA-1769545808398
0x7d4160a431807fa4919f3c7cc60285fe78e72dfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $188.37
- Realized PnL
- $2.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.37K
- Potential profit
- $21.37K
- User PnL
- -$239.11
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.22K
- Potential profit
- $14.22K
- User PnL
- -$326.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.98K
- Potential profit
- $13.98K
- User PnL
- -$131.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.46K
- User PnL
- -$147.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$13.42
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925.93
- Potential profit
- $925.93
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $46.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $753.6
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $141.97
- Potential payout
- $786.52
- Potential profit
- $644.55
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $71.97
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $765.07
- Potential profit
- $765.07
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.4
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.79
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.77
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 433.33 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 49% 81.63 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes 23% 92.59 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes 54% 92.59 shares
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.3% 348.91 shares
- Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes 0.1% 432.97 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 2.8% 1,071.79 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 15% 215.81 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 18% 138.89 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 66% 232.55 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 92% 448.71 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 78% 448.72 shares